Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 2138.448518 2328.618221 2522.572262 2734.892679 2960.485149 3192.732203 3449.606735
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 1858.832362 2141.404689 2441.555001 2782.972162 3159.393841 3560.587339 4019.338701
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 1652.158579 1986.121555 2351.795999 2779.571701 3263.857228 3792.727440 4411.507462
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1478.081163 1844.104275 2255.533435 2748.428573 3318.914981 3954.527560 4712.181887
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1369.645403 1764.929508 2219.412904 2775.013653 3430.111530 4172.201917 5070.377630
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1263.427197 1678.524470 2166.015796 2773.229505 3501.425523 4338.791657 5366.232992
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1199.624168 1637.505493 2161.447066 2824.782907 3631.982561 4572.152786 5739.151283
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1108.727274 1556.291239 2102.159420 2804.756245 3672.343702 4695.790059 5980.733626
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1066.428877 1533.089456 2111.570765 2866.547937 3810.258344 4935.271309 6361.020812
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1008.381765 1485.612519 2087.084985 2883.154022 3890.469447 5103.937864 6656.094462
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 949.615983 1433.512665 2053.448187 2885.282565 3950.408082 5246.510192 6919.120718
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 859.883826 1334.782915 1954.632432 2799.306814 3895.298158 5243.946729 7001.451739
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 844.203913 1337.378196 1989.831540 2888.859629 4066.440789 5526.994802 7443.461103
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 814.570845 1318.886584 1995.754659 2939.440209 4187.836919 5749.072110 7812.344934
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 767.650944 1273.191157 1962.503695 2935.891913 4237.449039 5879.669086 8066.603233
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 714.307167 1215.232804 1909.675765 2903.428768 4246.996793 5957.725482 8253.719002
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 684.937431 1190.792766 1901.990199 2931.140925 4335.459658 6137.083295 8570.665240
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 648.127304 1153.190932 1873.951769 2929.281221 4383.293522 6263.382377 8819.935139
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 630.903517 1144.376352 1886.241396 2983.013052 4506.077444 6488.055696 9197.721992
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 592.591591 1100.901510 1846.590545 2962.141317 4526.222109 6577.370080 9399.901293
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 581.179293 1099.008871 1867.249577 3026.535737 4663.324582 6821.870692 9806.158189
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 557.322583 1075.976794 1855.573953 3043.838928 4735.068998 6979.753076 10099.791710
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 530.823081 1047.270962 1834.181916 3046.056753 4785.160489 7108.545949 10355.620266